Support multi-outcome markets with probability sum > 100%
Issue #70 | State: OPEN | Created: 2026-01-22T10:50:53Z
Updated: 2026-01-22T10:53:16Z | Closed: N/A
Summary
Add support for markets where the sum of all outcome probabilities can exceed 100%, such as "Top N" prediction markets.
Use Case
Markets like "Who will be in the top 10 most searched people of 2025?" where:
- Each person has an independent YES/NO market
- Multiple outcomes can resolve to YES simultaneously
- Total probability across all outcomes naturally exceeds 100%
Reference: Polymarket Top 5 Most Searched People
Requirements
- Support creating linked markets under a single event
- Allow multiple outcomes to resolve YES
- Handle collateral and payouts for overlapping outcomes
- UI to display grouped markets as a single event
Technical Considerations
- Market resolution logic for multi-winner scenarios
- Collateral management across linked markets
- Oracle design for batch resolution